| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.0% | 31% | +48.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 92.9% | 61% | +31.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 92.0% | 43% | +49.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 58% | -10.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 82.8% | 12.5% | 4.8% |
| xgboost | 72.0% | 18.5% | 9.4% |
| logistic | 86.2% | 11.1% | 2.7% |
| Porto | Portimonense | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1887 | 1434 |
| Surface Elo | 1887 | 1434 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 903 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 10 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Napoli | 4 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Estoril | 4 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Estoril | 4 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Amarante FC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Academico Viseu | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | SCU Torreense | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Sporting | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Florgrade FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Amarante FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | AD Castro Daire | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Mar 2024 | Portimonense | 0 - 3 | Porto |
| 08 Oct 2023 | Porto | 1 - 0 | Portimonense |
| 02 Apr 2023 | Porto | 1 - 0 | Portimonense |
| 08 Oct 2022 | Portimonense | 0 - 2 | Porto |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Porto | 7 - 0 | Portimonense |
| 03 Dec 2021 | Portimonense | 0 - 3 | Porto |
| 20 Mar 2021 | Portimonense | 1 - 2 | Porto |
| 08 Nov 2020 | Porto | 3 - 1 | Portimonense |
| 23 Feb 2020 | Porto | 1 - 0 | Portimonense |
| 15 Sep 2019 | Portimonense | 2 - 3 | Porto |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |