| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.6% | 79% | -13.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| logistic | 44.6% | 55.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Leonardo Rossi | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1464 | 1564 |
| Surface Elo | 1464 | 1564 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Marcus Walters | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Mika Petkovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Guillaume Dalmasso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Patrick Brady | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Jonas Forejtek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Samuele Pieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.26 | 79.4% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |