OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-22
⚽ England EFL Trophy · Tuesday 22 September 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Wigan 0.80 3 - 2 0.80 Blackpool
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.8%44%+10.0%✓ hit
DCHome or away 77.9%79%-1.2%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 64.7%60%+5.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 47.6%59%-11.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 47.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson36.0%29.4%34.6%
xgboost36.3%31.8%31.9%
logistic37.3%30.1%32.5%
Inputs the models saw
WiganBlackpool
Elo (pre-match)14131505
Surface Elo14131505
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.80
Form trend0.200.50
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 3 D
Wigan: last 5
19 SepHWycombe0 - 1L
19 SepHWycombe0 - 1L
12 SepASheffield Weds0 - 0D
05 SepHStockport0 - 4L
02 SepHMilton Keynes Dons3 - 1W
Blackpool: last 5
19 SepHPlymouth2 - 4L
19 SepHPlymouth2 - 4L
12 SepHBromley2 - 2D
05 SepAReading1 - 3L
02 SepABarnsley1 - 2L
Head to head
07 Mar 2026Blackpool1 - 1Wigan
20 Dec 2025Wigan0 - 2Blackpool
26 Apr 2025Wigan1 - 1Blackpool
28 Oct 2024Blackpool2 - 2Wigan
16 Mar 2024Wigan1 - 0Blackpool
02 Sep 2023Blackpool2 - 1Wigan
15 Apr 2023Blackpool1 - 0Wigan
12 Nov 2022Wigan2 - 1Blackpool
26 Jan 2021Wigan0 - 5Blackpool
03 Nov 2020Blackpool1 - 0Wigan
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.8035.7%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3043.5%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6261.7%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%22 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:28 UTC