| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.0% | 72% | -15.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| ensemble | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | Houston Texans | |
|---|---|---|
| playoff | 0.00 | |
| elo diff | -0.13 | |
| form diff | -0.25 | |
| rest diff | -1.00 | |
| home field | 1.00 | |
| point diff | -0.64 | |
| opponent strength diff | 0.10 | |
| Information cutoff (UTC) | 2026-11-07T21:05:00+00:00 | |
| 01 Nov | A | Los Angeles Rams | 9 - 24 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Kansas City Chiefs | 6 - 22 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Denver Broncos | 17 - 23 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Seattle Seahawks | 23 - 30 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Buffalo Bills | 16 - 24 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | New York Giants | 21 - 27 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Jacksonville Jaguars | 34 - 31 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Tennessee Titans | 26 - 3 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Dallas Cowboys | 30 - 34 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Indianapolis Colts | 17 - 19 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Los Angeles Chargers | 16 - 20 | Houston Texans |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Houston Texans | 32 - 12 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 02 Oct 2022 | Houston Texans | 24 - 34 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 26 Dec 2021 | Houston Texans | 41 - 29 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 22 Sep 2019 | Los Angeles Chargers | 20 - 27 | Houston Texans |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.96 | 33.8% | 08 Nov 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 08 Nov 20:20 |