| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 89.3% | 94% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 22.9% | 77.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 7.9% | 92.1% |
| logistic | 13.9% | 86.1% |
| Santiago De La Fuente | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1428 | 1686 |
| Surface Elo | 1428 | 1686 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | A | Facundo Mena | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Elmer Moller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Andres Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Andy Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.06 | 94.3% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.80 | 12.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |