| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.5% | 47% | -1.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.1% | 74% | -0.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.0% | 65% | -7.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 51% | +5.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.6% | 29.7% | 39.7% |
| xgboost | 32.6% | 27.5% | 39.9% |
| logistic | 35.4% | 28.8% | 35.8% |
| Hull | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1603 | 1715 |
| Surface Elo | 1603 | 1715 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Chelsea | 2 - 2 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Aston Villa | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Coventry | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Manchester United | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Boreham Wood | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Ipswich | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Tottenham | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Manchester United | 2 - 2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Bournemouth | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.13 | 46.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.48 | 28.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.66 | 27.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.97 | 50.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.84 | 54.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |