| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.7% | 76% | -6.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.8% | 61.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.0% | 76.9% |
| logistic | 43.2% | 56.8% |
| Inaki Montes De La Torre | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1685 | 1742 |
| Surface Elo | 1685 | 1742 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Toby Samuel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Toby Samuel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Henrique Rocha | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Olle Wallin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Jaume Munar | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.32 | 75.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.55 | 28.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |