| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.8% | 56% | +1.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.6% | 82% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 76.3% | 74% | +2.0% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 61% | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.1% | 24.9% | 23.0% |
| xgboost | 69.8% | 15.0% | 15.2% |
| logistic | 60.3% | 24.2% | 15.6% |
| Barnet | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1411 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1411 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 0.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Swindon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Swindon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Tranmere | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Tranmere | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Bristol Rvs | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Walsall | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Walsall | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Leeds | 4 - 2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Barnet | 3 - 2 | Oldham |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Oldham | 1 - 1 | Barnet |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Oldham | 0 - 3 | Barnet |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Barnet | 0 - 0 | Oldham |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Oldham | 2 - 0 | Barnet |
| 22 Nov 2023 | Barnet | 1 - 4 | Oldham |
| 28 Feb 2023 | Barnet | 1 - 3 | Oldham |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Oldham | 0 - 2 | Barnet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |