OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Rotherham 0.40 3 - 3 2.00 Shrewsbury
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.4%43%+1.8%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.1%76%-0.8%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 55.9%59%-3.5%void
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.3%58%-3.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 49.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.7%28.7%24.6%
xgboost38.7%24.2%37.0%
logistic33.2%29.1%37.7%
Inputs the models saw
RotherhamShrewsbury
Elo (pre-match)13531401
Surface Elo13531401
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.402.00
Form trend0.00-0.40
Season points per game0.831.83
Season goals for / game0.831.50
Season goals against / game1.671.17
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 3 D
Rotherham: last 5
20 OctHNewport County2 - 2D
20 OctHNewport County2 - 2D
17 OctAFleetwood Town0 - 2L
17 OctAFleetwood Town0 - 2L
10 OctHGillingham1 - 4L
Shrewsbury: last 5
20 OctACrawley Town3 - 2W
20 OctACrawley Town3 - 2W
17 OctHBristol Rovers1 - 0W
17 OctHBristol Rvs1 - 0W
10 OctHExeter0 - 1L
Head to head
08 Feb 2025Rotherham1 - 2Shrewsbury
28 Sep 2024Shrewsbury1 - 1Rotherham
19 Mar 2022Rotherham0 - 3Shrewsbury
01 Mar 2022Shrewsbury0 - 0Rotherham
26 Dec 2019Shrewsbury1 - 2Rotherham
21 Sep 2019Rotherham0 - 0Shrewsbury
17 Feb 2018Shrewsbury0 - 1Rotherham
18 Nov 2017Rotherham1 - 2Shrewsbury
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.0033.3%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3330.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3542.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7258.1%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC