| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.8% | 57% | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.7% | 38.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| logistic | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Andres Martin | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1497 | 1478 |
| Surface Elo | 1497 | 1478 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 27 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Erik Arutiunian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Hance, Keaton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Keaton Hance | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Aidan Mchugh | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Gabriel Debru | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Spencer Johnson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Andres Martin | 1 - 2 | Erik Arutiunian |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |