| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.7% | 43% | -0.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.0% | 73% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.5% | 61% | -2.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 47% | +7.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.7% | 27.0% | 30.3% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | ||
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | ||
| Udinese | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1631 | 1655 |
| Surface Elo | 1631 | 1655 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Inter | 3 - 5 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Lazio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Monza | 3 - 2 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Como | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 May | A | Napoli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Lecce | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Inter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Parma | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 May | A | Ac Milan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 May 2026 | Cagliari | 0 - 2 | Udinese |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Udinese | 1 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 03 May 2025 | Cagliari | 1 - 2 | Udinese |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Udinese | 2 - 0 | Cagliari |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Udinese | 1 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Cagliari | 0 - 0 | Udinese |
| 03 Apr 2022 | Udinese | 5 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Cagliari | 0 - 4 | Udinese |
| 21 Apr 2021 | Udinese | 0 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 20 Dec 2020 | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | Udinese |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 19 Sep 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.36 | 29.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.39 | 29.5% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.34 | 42.7% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.05 | 48.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 19 Sep 06:16 |