| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.6% | 78% | -22.9% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| logistic | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Adrian Andreev | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1496 | 1394 |
| Surface Elo | 1496 | 1394 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 48 | 41 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 03 Aug | H | Petr Nesterov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | H | Murkel Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Lilian Marmousez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | Ivan Gakhov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Mert Alkaya | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 May | A | Elias Ymer | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 20 Sep 06:16 |