| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.2% | 42% | +6.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.1% | 40.4% |
| xgboost | 47.2% | 50.7% |
| logistic | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| Montréal Canadiens | Buffalo Sabres | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1571 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1571 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.80 | 3.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Detroit Red Wings | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 2 - 5 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 4 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 6 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 2 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 5 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 1 - 4 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 0 - 4 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 3 | W |
| 18 May 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 2 - 3 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 17 May 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 8 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 14 May 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 6 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 12 May 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 10 May 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 6 - 2 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 08 May 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 1 - 5 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 06 May 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 2 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 2 - 4 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 4 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 5 - 3 | Montréal Canadiens |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 13 Oct 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.39 | 41.8% | 13 Oct 20:20 |