| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.0% | 58% | +0.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.3% | 43.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.1% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Ivan Gakhov | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1512 | 1511 |
| Surface Elo | 1512 | 1511 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Nicolas Ifi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Gerard Campana Lee | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Ignacio Parisca | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniel Siniakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Ivan Gakhov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Ivan Gakhov | 0 - 2 | Yanaki Milev |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 06 Oct 06:15 |