OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-28

🎾 tennis_atp_swiss_indoors · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · scheduled

Nuno Borges 1.80 13:00 1.80 Casper Ruud

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	62.8%	68%	-5.7%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	24.2%	75.7%
logistic	44.2%	55.8%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Nuno Borges	Casper Ruud
Elo (pre-match)	1867	1968
Surface Elo	1867	1968
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	1.80
Form trend	0.30	0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	2	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	1 W	2 W · 0 D

Nuno Borges: last 5

26 Oct	A	Mika Brunold	2 - 0	W
10 Oct	A	Jiri Lehecka	1 - 2	L
10 Oct	A	Jiri Lehecka	1 - 2	L
08 Oct	H	Facundo Diaz Acosta	2 - 0	W
08 Oct	A	Facundo Diaz Acosta	2 - 0	W

Casper Ruud: last 5

26 Oct	A	Dominic Stricker	2 - 1	W
16 Oct	A	Rafael Jodar	1 - 2	L
16 Oct	H	Rafael Jodar	1 - 2	L
14 Oct	H	Felix Auger Aliassime	1 - 0	W
14 Oct	H	Felix Auger-Aliassime	1 - 0	W

Head to head

27 Jul 2025	Casper Ruud	2 - 0	Nuno Borges
26 May 2025	Casper Ruud	1 - 3	Nuno Borges
19 Feb 2024	Casper Ruud	2 - 0	Nuno Borges

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.45	69.0%	28 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.84	35.2%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.44	69.4%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.75	36.4%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.45	69.0%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.80	35.7%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.43	69.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.70	37.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.52	65.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.86	35.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Casper Ruud	1.54	64.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Nuno Borges	2.90	34.5%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.51	66.2%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.70	37.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.44	69.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.75	36.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.45	69.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.78	36.0%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.43	69.9%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.80	35.7%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.43	69.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.80	35.7%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.52	65.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.86	35.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Casper Ruud	1.54	64.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Nuno Borges	2.90	34.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.44	69.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.75	36.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.48	67.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.85	35.1%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.38	72.5%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.63	38.0%	28 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.46	68.5%	28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	2.80	35.7%	28 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.40	71.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.70	37.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.39	71.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.55	39.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.43	69.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.80	35.7%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.43	69.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.80	35.7%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.44	69.4%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.75	36.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.47	68.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.85	35.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Casper Ruud	1.43	69.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Nuno Borges	2.65	37.7%	28 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:05 UTC