| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.9% | 70% | -11.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.4% | 57.5% |
| xgboost | 36.3% | 62.1% |
| logistic | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1451 | 1578 |
| Surface Elo | 1451 | 1578 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.10 | 0.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 4.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 3 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 1 - 5 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 2 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 2 - 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Dallas Stars | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 6 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Calgary Flames | 7 - 3 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 7 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 3 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 0 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 19 Nov 2024 | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 3 | Colorado Avalanche |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 3.06 | 32.7% | 19 Oct 17:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.43 | 69.9% | 19 Oct 17:20 |