| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.4% | 59% | +0.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| logistic | 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Daniil Glinka | Gauthier Onclin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1620 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1620 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Dan Added | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Dominik Kellovsky | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 1 | Gauthier Onclin |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 1 | Gauthier Onclin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 06 Oct 06:15 |