| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 78.1% | 84% | -5.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.6% | 61.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.4% | 76.5% |
| logistic | 20.5% | 79.5% |
| Alan Magadan | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1502 | 1644 |
| Surface Elo | 1502 | 1644 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.31 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.10 | 1.46 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.10 | 0.54 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Nicolas Barrientos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Zavalaga Uculmana, Fabio Manuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.27 | 78.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.55 | 28.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |