| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.9% | 48% | -0.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.8% | 79% | -3.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.2% | 68% | -3.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 60% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.1% | 29.5% | 32.3% |
| xgboost | 51.4% | 27.5% | 21.1% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 29.0% | 24.8% |
| Virtus Entella | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1390 | 1443 |
| Surface Elo | 1390 | 1443 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Mantova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Mantova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Padova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Padova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Vicenza | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Padova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Padova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Cesena | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Cesena | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | Sampdoria | 4 - 1 | W |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Virtus Entella | 1 - 2 | Avellino |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Avellino | 2 - 0 | Virtus Entella |
| 14 Apr 2018 | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | Avellino |
| 11 Nov 2017 | Avellino | 0 - 0 | Virtus Entella |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |