| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.1% | 85% | -11.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 20.1% | 79.8% |
| logistic | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1751 | 2009 |
| Surface Elo | 1751 | 2009 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 29 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Taro Daniel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Coleman Wong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Coleman Wong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Jie Cui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 0 - 3 | L |
| 19 Aug | A | Flavio Cobolli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Aug | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 0 | Rafael Jodar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.17 | 85.5% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.50 | 18.2% | 30 Sep 06:15 |