| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.0% | 81% | -28.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| logistic | 57.3% | 42.7% |
| Wilson Leite | Gabriel Roveri Sidney | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1346 | 1398 |
| Surface Elo | 1346 | 1398 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 93 | 800 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Jun | A | Nick Hardt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Filipe Bullamah | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Jun | A | Thiago Cigarran | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Jan | A | Lautaro Midon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | H | Peter Buldorini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Apr | H | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Apr | A | Emilio Gomez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Apr | H | Kaichi Uchida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Nov | A | Conner Huertas Del Pino | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.65 | 27.4% | 23 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 23 Sep 06:15 |