| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.2% | 74% | -13.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.2% | 62.8% |
| logistic | 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Dali Blanch | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1572 | 1745 |
| Surface Elo | 1572 | 1745 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Marvin Moeller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Marvin Moeller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Patrick Schoen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Dali Blanch | 0 - 2 | Max Alcala Gurri |
| 08 Jun 2026 | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | Max Alcala Gurri |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.37 | 73.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |