| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.1% | 75% | -7.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 30.6% | 69.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.2% | 77.8% |
| logistic | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Leo Borg | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Liam Delicata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Kris Van Wyk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Luca Wiedenmann | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Picard, Mathys | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Yshai Oliel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Amit Vales | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Fons Van Sambeek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Jakub Filip | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Ioannis Kountourakis | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.05 | 32.8% | 29 Oct 06:15 |