| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.2% | 68% | -8.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.4% | 64.5% |
| logistic | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| Manuel Mazza | Ivan Ivanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1402 | 1438 |
| Surface Elo | 1402 | 1438 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 801 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | Lorenzo Berto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Jul | H | Remy Bertola | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Jul | H | Viktor Durasovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Aug | H | Matias Zukas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Aug | A | Joao Domingues | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Kirill Kivattsev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 08 Oct 06:15 |