| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.5% | 61% | -0.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.6% | 44.3% |
| logistic | 65.4% | 34.6% |
| Lucia Bronzetti | Elizabeth Mandlik | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1449 | 1433 |
| Surface Elo | 1449 | 1433 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Julieta Pareja | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Luisina Giovannini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Mona Barthel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Fiona Crawley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | H | Veronika Erjavec | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Jazmin Ortenzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Selena Janicijevic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Fiona Ferro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Selena Janicijevic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul 2025 | Elizabeth Mandlik | 1 - 2 | Lucia Bronzetti |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 11 Nov 06:15 |