OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-29
⚽ Portugal League Cup · Thursday 29 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Sp Braga 0.80 2 - 2 1.60 Famalicao
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.1%55%-1.9%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 80.0%81%-0.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 71.3%73%-1.8%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.4%56%-1.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson51.7%26.2%22.1%
xgboost50.4%27.4%22.2%
logistic55.5%25.2%19.2%
Inputs the models saw
Sp BragaFamalicao
Elo (pre-match)16151594
Surface Elo16151594
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.60
Form trend0.70-0.30
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days44
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 4 D
Sp Braga: last 5
25 OctANacional da Madeira0 - 1L
25 OctANacional0 - 1L
25 OctAChaves1 - 0W
22 OctHGent2 - 0W
19 OctHGil Vicente1 - 2L
Famalicao: last 5
25 OctARio Ave4 - 0W
25 OctARio Ave4 - 0W
18 OctAUniao SC Paredes0 - 1L
12 OctHAlverca1 - 4L
19 SepANacional da Madeira4 - 0W
Head to head
19 Apr 2026Sp Braga2 - 2Famalicao
06 Dec 2025Famalicao1 - 2Sp Braga
25 Apr 2025Famalicao1 - 1Sp Braga
16 Dec 2024Sp Braga3 - 3Famalicao
18 Jan 2024Famalicao1 - 2Sp Braga
11 Aug 2023Sp Braga1 - 2Famalicao
05 Feb 2023Sp Braga4 - 1Famalicao
12 Aug 2022Famalicao0 - 3Sp Braga
15 May 2022Famalicao3 - 2Sp Braga
09 Jan 2022Sp Braga2 - 2Famalicao
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.4622.4%29 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9125.6%29 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8254.9%29 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7856.2%29 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%29 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 14:01 UTC