| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.1% | 51% | -7.0% | |
| DC | Home or away | 78.0% | 81% | -2.5% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.1% | 70% | -16.3% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 54% | +0.4% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.7% | 26.9% | 26.4% |
| xgboost | 42.4% | 28.6% | 28.9% |
| logistic | 31.1% | 14.9% | 54.0% |
| Logrones | Mirandes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1405 | 1410 |
| Surface Elo | 1405 | 1410 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1979 | 152 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Real Aviles CF | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Cultural Leonesa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Terrassa FC | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Naxara CD | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Oct | A | Lugo | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | SDA Tordesillas | 3 - 3 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Ferrol | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | CD Virgen Del Camino | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | UD Santa Marta | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Barakaldo CF | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Apr 2021 | Mirandes | 0 - 1 | Logrones |
| 02 Jan 2021 | Logrones | 2 - 1 | Mirandes |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.82 | 54.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |