| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.8% | 60% | -7.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.1% | 34.2% |
| xgboost | 56.8% | 40.7% |
| logistic | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | Washington Capitals | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1748 | 1577 |
| Surface Elo | 1748 | 1577 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.86 | 3.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.43 | 2.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 7 - 2 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 6 - 4 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 5 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 3 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 2 | W |
| 02 Oct 2026 | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 5 | Washington Capitals |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Washington Capitals | 4 - 3 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Washington Capitals | 2 - 3 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 12 Nov 2025 | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 4 | Washington Capitals |
| 15 May 2025 | Washington Capitals | 1 - 3 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 12 May 2025 | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 2 | Washington Capitals |
| 10 May 2025 | Carolina Hurricanes | 4 - 0 | Washington Capitals |
| 08 May 2025 | Washington Capitals | 3 - 1 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 06 May 2025 | Washington Capitals | 1 - 2 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| 10 Apr 2025 | Washington Capitals | 5 - 4 | Carolina Hurricanes |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.66 | 60.2% | 13 Oct 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.36 | 42.4% | 13 Oct 20:20 |