| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.7% | 77% | -14.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 25.2% | 74.8% |
| logistic | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Florian Broska | Lukas Neumayer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1530 | 1692 |
| Surface Elo | 1530 | 1692 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 5 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Robert Guna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Arnaboldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Arnaboldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Olle Wallin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Florian Broska | 1 - 2 | Lukas Neumayer |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Florian Broska | 2 - 1 | Lukas Neumayer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.26 | 79.4% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.65 | 27.4% | 07 Oct 06:15 |