| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.0% | 44% | +6.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| logistic | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Justin Boulais | Sebastian Dominko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1480 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1480 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 28 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Sep | H | Alexandre Reco | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Sebastian Gima | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Stepan Baum | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Rudolf Molleker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Marko Bekeni | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |