OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ Scottish League Two · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Stranraer 2.60 0 - 0 2.00 Edinburgh City
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.3%51%-1.5%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 74.2%79%-4.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 65.1%68%-3.0%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.7%59%+3.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 59.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson51.1%24.3%24.6%
xgboost47.8%27.7%24.5%
logistic44.4%27.2%28.4%
Inputs the models saw
StranraerEdinburgh City
Elo (pre-match)14291352
Surface Elo14291352
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.602.00
Form trend-0.40-0.20
Season points per game2.001.75
Season goals for / game2.132.38
Season goals against / game1.001.88
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Stranraer: last 5
26 SepHEast Kilbride4 - 3W
22 SepABerwick Rangers2 - 3L
19 SepAElgin5 - 1W
19 SepAElgin5 - 1W
12 SepHDumbarton3 - 1W
Edinburgh City: last 5
22 SepHDundee United1 - 0W
19 SepAKelty Hearts3 - 1W
19 SepAKelty Hearts3 - 1W
12 SepHStirling7 - 3W
05 SepAClyde2 - 3L
Head to head
07 Mar 2026Edinburgh City4 - 1Stranraer
03 Jan 2026Stranraer1 - 1Edinburgh City
18 Oct 2025Edinburgh City1 - 3Stranraer
09 Aug 2025Stranraer1 - 2Edinburgh City
19 Apr 2025Stranraer2 - 0Edinburgh City
01 Mar 2025Edinburgh City0 - 1Stranraer
14 Dec 2024Stranraer0 - 0Edinburgh City
05 Oct 2024Edinburgh City1 - 2Stranraer
18 Mar 2022Edinburgh City1 - 2Stranraer
05 Feb 2022Stranraer0 - 2Edinburgh City
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.2530.8%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%03 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.8554.0%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%03 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%03 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away3.2031.2%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1047.6%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6859.5%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%03 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:17 UTC