| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.8% | 49% | +1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.8% | 77% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 63.8% | 69% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 56% | +0.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.8% | 29.7% | 37.4% |
| xgboost | 34.4% | 25.5% | 40.0% |
| logistic | 21.1% | 28.8% | 50.1% |
| Clermont | Red Star | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1389 | 1525 |
| Surface Elo | 1389 | 1525 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 0.86 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.57 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Grenoble | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Sep | H | Boulogne | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Sep | A | Dunkerque | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Sochaux | 0 - 0 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | Dijon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Guingamp | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Guingamp | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Metz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Laval | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Reims | 1 - 4 | L |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Clermont | 0 - 1 | Red Star |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Red Star | 2 - 2 | Clermont |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Red Star | 1 - 1 | Clermont |
| 24 Sep 2024 | Clermont | 1 - 1 | Red Star |
| 15 Mar 2019 | Red Star | 0 - 4 | Clermont |
| 19 Oct 2018 | Clermont | 0 - 0 | Red Star |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.85 | 54.0% | 10 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 10 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 10 Oct 13:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.99 | 50.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |