| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.7% | 59% | -2.2% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.2% | 83% | -1.0% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.3% | 76% | -1.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 65% | -8.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.0% | 25.3% | 20.8% |
| xgboost | 59.5% | 21.7% | 18.8% |
| logistic | 59.2% | 24.6% | 16.2% |
| Oldham | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1421 | 1304 |
| Surface Elo | 1421 | 1304 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.83 | 0.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Barnet | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Barnet | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Walsall | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Walsall | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Tranmere | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Tranmere | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Shrewsbury | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Shrewsbury | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Salford | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Oldham | 2 - 0 | Crawley Town |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Crawley Town | 2 - 2 | Oldham |
| 07 May 2022 | Oldham | 3 - 3 | Crawley Town |
| 01 Mar 2022 | Crawley Town | 2 - 2 | Oldham |
| 05 Apr 2021 | Crawley Town | 1 - 4 | Oldham |
| 26 Sep 2020 | Oldham | 2 - 3 | Crawley Town |
| 07 Mar 2020 | Crawley Town | 3 - 0 | Oldham |
| 21 Dec 2019 | Oldham | 2 - 1 | Crawley Town |
| 09 Feb 2019 | Crawley Town | 0 - 3 | Oldham |
| 01 Sep 2018 | Oldham | 2 - 1 | Crawley Town |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |