| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | 50% | +6.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 62.5% | 37.4% |
| logistic | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Pavel Kotov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1669 | 1668 |
| Surface Elo | 1669 | 1668 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 29 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Jakub Mensik | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Soonwoo Kwon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug | A | Fabian Marozsan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Hayato Matsuoka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Marat Sharipov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Bernard Tomic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Rio Noguchi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Akira Santillan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Shintaro Mochizuki | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Pavel Kotov | 2 - 0 | Shintaro Mochizuki |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||