| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.6% | 63% | +6.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 23.4% | 76.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 36.9% | 63.0% |
| logistic | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| Lloyd Harris | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1790 | 1918 |
| Surface Elo | 1790 | 1918 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 27 Sep | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Valentin Vacherot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Valentin Vacherot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Lloyd Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Damm Jr, Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Martin Damm | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Alexander Shevchenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Alexander Shevchenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | Lloyd Harris |
| 21 Mar 2022 | Hubert Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | Lloyd Harris |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.59 | 62.9% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 27 Sep 06:15 |