| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.3% | 41% | +1.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.0% | 74% | -1.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.0% | 57% | -2.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 55% | +2.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.2% | 26.3% | 34.5% |
| xgboost | 29.6% | 33.8% | 36.6% |
| logistic | 29.9% | 28.3% | 41.8% |
| Celta | Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1639 | 1752 |
| Surface Elo | 1639 | 1752 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 2.67 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Celtic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Alaves | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Alaves | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Juventus | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Elche | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | UD Tomares | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Feyenoord | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Chiclana CF | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Barcelona | 2 - 5 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Barcelona | 2 - 5 | L |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Betis | 1 - 1 | Celta |
| 27 Aug 2025 | Celta | 1 - 1 | Betis |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Celta | 3 - 2 | Betis |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Betis | 2 - 2 | Celta |
| 12 Apr 2024 | Betis | 2 - 1 | Celta |
| 03 Jan 2024 | Celta | 2 - 1 | Betis |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Betis | 3 - 4 | Celta |
| 02 Oct 2022 | Celta | 1 - 0 | Betis |
| 20 Mar 2022 | Celta | 0 - 0 | Betis |
| 02 Jan 2022 | Betis | 0 - 2 | Celta |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.42 | 41.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.02 | 33.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.99 | 50.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |