OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:00 UTC · finished
Hertha Berlin 2.60 1 - 0 1.60 Bielefeld
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.1%56%-2.9%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.0%81%-2.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 70.2%74%-3.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60.6%65%-4.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.5%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson51.1%22.9%26.0%
xgboost57.4%23.0%19.6%
logistic51.5%26.9%21.6%
Inputs the models saw
Hertha BerlinBielefeld
Elo (pre-match)15501428
Surface Elo15501428
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.601.60
Form trend0.40-0.70
Season points per game2.751.38
Season goals for / game2.381.63
Season goals against / game1.001.63
Rest days75
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W2 W · 3 D
Hertha Berlin: last 5
16 OctAHolstein Kiel0 - 0D
16 OctAHolstein Kiel0 - 0D
11 OctHGreuther Furth2 - 1W
11 OctHGreuther Furth2 - 1W
02 OctAAugsburg2 - 2D
Bielefeld: last 5
18 OctHOsnabruck2 - 1W
18 OctHOsnabruck2 - 1W
11 OctABochum1 - 0W
11 OctABochum1 - 0W
20 SepHHeidenheim2 - 2D
Head to head
17 May 2026Bielefeld6 - 1Hertha Berlin
19 Dec 2025Hertha Berlin1 - 1Bielefeld
30 Apr 2022Bielefeld1 - 1Hertha Berlin
11 Dec 2021Hertha Berlin2 - 0Bielefeld
09 May 2021Hertha Berlin0 - 0Bielefeld
10 Jan 2021Bielefeld1 - 0Hertha Berlin
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.9025.6%24 Oct 12:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%24 Oct 12:00
Bet3651X2home1.8055.6%24 Oct 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%24 Oct 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%24 Oct 12:00
SportyBet1X2away4.0025.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8254.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5464.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4540.8%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC