| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.6% | 54% | +8.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.8% | 47.1% |
| logistic | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1683 | 1592 |
| Surface Elo | 1683 | 1592 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.08 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Nicolas Kicker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Hernan Casanova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Mateo Del Pino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Federico Coria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Valentino Grippo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | Juan Manuel La Serna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |