OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England National League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Eastleigh 0.80 4 - 2 0.80 Boston Utd
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.0%47%-0.5%✓ hit
DCHome or away 77.1%80%-2.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 57.3%63%-5.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.8%61%-5.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.7%26.3%33.0%
xgboost43.5%21.6%34.9%
logistic42.0%26.6%31.4%
Inputs the models saw
EastleighBoston Utd
Elo (pre-match)13821412
Surface Elo13821412
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.80
Form trend0.600.60
Season points per game0.800.80
Season goals for / game0.801.00
Season goals against / game2.002.20
Rest days1313
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W0 W · 1 D
Eastleigh: last 5
10 OctAHornchurch0 - 2L
10 OctAHornchurch0 - 2L
03 OctHWoking1 - 3L
03 OctHWoking1 - 3L
30 SepHSouthend1 - 1D
Boston Utd: last 5
17 OctHScunthorpe1 - 3L
13 OctHSouthampton5 - 6L
10 OctHSouthend1 - 2L
10 OctHSouthend1 - 2L
03 OctAYeovil0 - 6L
Head to head
03 Jan 2026Boston Utd1 - 2Eastleigh
23 Aug 2025Eastleigh2 - 0Boston Utd
22 Feb 2025Boston Utd1 - 2Eastleigh
26 Oct 2024Eastleigh1 - 1Boston Utd
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.0033.3%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1546.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6361.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:15 UTC