OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-26
⚽ La Liga 2 · Monday 26 October 2026, 19:30 UTC · finished
Andorra 1.40 2 - 3 1.80 Burgos
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 45.7%52%-6.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.3%79%-4.2%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 59.8%71%-11.1%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.9%56%-4.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.7%30.0%31.3%
xgboost45.8%25.4%28.8%
logistic42.3%28.2%29.4%
Inputs the models saw
AndorraBurgos
Elo (pre-match)14411561
Surface Elo14411561
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.80
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game1.001.70
Season goals for / game1.301.30
Season goals against / game1.701.00
Rest days88
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 1 D
Andorra: last 5
25 OctAHuesca2 - 2D
18 OctAGirona0 - 2L
18 OctAGirona0 - 2L
11 OctHCastellon1 - 0W
11 OctHCastellon1 - 0W
Burgos: last 5
18 OctHSabadell1 - 0W
18 OctHSabadell1 - 0W
18 OctASD Almazan0 - 1L
12 OctHGranada0 - 1L
12 OctHGranada0 - 1L
Head to head
31 May 2026Burgos1 - 0Andorra
31 Aug 2025Andorra2 - 1Burgos
18 May 2024Andorra1 - 0Burgos
25 Nov 2023Burgos0 - 0Andorra
15 Jan 2023Burgos2 - 1Andorra
12 Oct 2022Andorra0 - 1Burgos
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.5028.6%26 Oct 19:30
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%26 Oct 19:30
Bet3651X2home2.0149.8%26 Oct 19:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.2045.5%26 Oct 19:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.6560.6%26 Oct 19:30
SportyBet1X2away3.5028.6%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3330.0%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1047.6%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0050.0%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7756.5%26 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC