| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.4% | 57% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| logistic | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Axel Garcian | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1417 | 1529 |
| Surface Elo | 1417 | 1529 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | Guillaume Dalmasso | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Oleg Prihodko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Stefan Seifert | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Alexey Vatutin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Daniel Jade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Trufelli, Timeo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Calvin Mueller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Mar | H | Jelle Sels | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Mar | H | Paul Jubb | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |