OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ League Two · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Cheltenham 1.60 0 - 2 2.60 Salford
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 49.6%54%-4.5%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.0%80%-4.8%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 63.4%73%-9.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.6%59%-6.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson33.8%25.0%41.1%
xgboost29.2%28.9%41.8%
logistic27.2%29.3%43.5%
Inputs the models saw
CheltenhamSalford
Elo (pre-match)14421528
Surface Elo14421528
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.602.60
Form trend0.20-0.20
Season points per game1.671.78
Season goals for / game1.781.44
Season goals against / game1.561.11
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W1 W · 2 D
Cheltenham: last 5
03 OctAAccrington0 - 2L
03 OctAAccrington0 - 2L
26 SepHChesterfield2 - 1W
26 SepHChesterfield2 - 1W
22 SepHExeter2 - 2D
Salford: last 5
06 OctAAccrington1 - 1D
03 OctHFleetwood Town1 - 0W
03 OctHFleetwood Town1 - 0W
26 SepAOldham4 - 1W
26 SepAOldham4 - 1W
Head to head
21 Feb 2026Cheltenham3 - 2Salford
29 Aug 2025Salford1 - 1Cheltenham
25 Jan 2025Cheltenham2 - 1Salford
14 Sep 2024Salford2 - 1Cheltenham
20 Mar 2021Cheltenham2 - 0Salford
12 Dec 2020Salford0 - 0Cheltenham
14 Sep 2019Salford0 - 2Cheltenham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.5763.7%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home5.2519.1%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6759.9%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1546.5%10 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away1.8952.9%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.8026.3%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7158.5%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC