| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.2% | 83% | -13.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.3% | 70.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 17.5% | 82.4% |
| logistic | 30.6% | 69.4% |
| Hayato Matsuoka | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1534 | 1771 |
| Surface Elo | 1534 | 1771 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Yibing Wu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Aleksandar Vukic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Lloyd Harris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Jake Delaney | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Enzo Aguiard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Jie Cui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Hayato Matsuoka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | 0 - 2 | Yibing Wu |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.18 | 84.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.45 | 22.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |