| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.8% | 83% | -6.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 89.4% | 10.6% |
| logistic | 77.4% | 22.6% |
| Yi Zhou | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1693 | 1453 |
| Surface Elo | 1693 | 1453 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Elias Ymer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Andre Ilagan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Zhizhen Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Andre Ilagan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Marat Sharipov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Ajeet Rai | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Zane Stevens | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.60 | 21.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.17 | 85.5% | 29 Oct 06:15 |