| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.2% | 60% | -10.3% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.9% | 83% | -6.8% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.1% | 77% | -11.4% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 67% | -13.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.5% | 25.7% | 29.8% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 27.6% | 22.6% |
| logistic | 47.2% | 27.2% | 25.5% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1569 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1569 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Watford | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Watford | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Portsmouth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Portsmouth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 Oct | A | Burnley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Birmingham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Birmingham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Middlesbrough | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Middlesbrough | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | Watford | 5 - 1 | W |
| 02 Mar 2019 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 - 0 | Cardiff |
| 30 Nov 2018 | Cardiff | 2 - 1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 06 Apr 2018 | Cardiff | 0 - 1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 19 Aug 2017 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 - 2 | Cardiff |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.64 | 21.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.31 | 23.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.49 | 67.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.70 | 37.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |