| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.7% | 71% | -6.8% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 69.9% | 30.0% |
| logistic | 68.7% | 31.3% |
| Marta Kostyuk | Taylor Townsend | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1915 | 1721 |
| Surface Elo | 1915 | 1721 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 17 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Liudmila Samsonova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Linda Noskova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Sloane Stephens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Storm Hunter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Tatjana Maria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Taylah Preston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 0 | Taylor Townsend |
| 08 Jan 2024 | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 1 | Taylor Townsend |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 16 Sep 06:15 |