| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.1% | 56% | +4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.4% | 58.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.4% | 62.6% |
| logistic | 38.8% | 61.2% |
| Patrick Brady | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1496 | 1609 |
| Surface Elo | 1496 | 1609 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 41 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Aug | A | Charles Broom | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Patrick Zahraj | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Lui Maxted | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Alec Deckers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Alastair Gray | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Max Basing | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Max Basing | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |