| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.2% | 69% | -9.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.9% | 35.0% |
| logistic | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Moise Kouame | Francesco Maestrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1648 | 1587 |
| Surface Elo | 1648 | 1587 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.22 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.14 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 29 Oct | A | Hugo Gaston | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Gabriel Diallo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Borna Gojo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Mili Poljicak | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |