| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.5% | 45% | +8.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.7% | 71% | +8.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.1% | 60% | +10.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.7% | 65% | +8.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 66.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.1% | 26.7% | 32.2% |
| xgboost | 54.5% | 25.1% | 20.5% |
| logistic | 66.2% | 21.7% | 12.1% |
| Besiktas | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1664 | 1665 |
| Surface Elo | 1664 | 1665 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Trabzonspor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Trabzonspor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Hoffenheim | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Kocaelispor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Kocaelispor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Brighton | 0 - 5 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Brighton | 0 - 5 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Lyon | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 3 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 3 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.17 | 31.6% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.91 | 25.6% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.23 | 44.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 22 Oct 06:15 |