| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.1% | 80% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 19.5% | 80.5% |
| logistic | 35.8% | 64.2% |
| Luca Staeheli | Andres Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1451 | 1611 |
| Surface Elo | 1451 | 1611 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | A | Oliver Okonkwo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Alex Rybakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Andy Andrade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Oliver Okonkwo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Lautaro Midon | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.25 | 80.0% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.75 | 26.7% | 30 Sep 06:15 |